2020 college football picks, predictions from model on 23-6 run

The Arkansas State Red Wolves will look to get back to their dominant ways over the Georgia State Panthers when they meet in a key Sun Belt Conference matchup on Thursday. The Red Wolves have won five of six against Georgia State overall, but the Panthers won last year’s meeting 52-38 in Atlanta. The Red Wolves have played well at home over the past two seasons, going 5-2, including 4-1 in 2019. The Panthers were 2-4 on the road a year ago.

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The game is slated to start at 7:30 p.m. ET from Centennial Bank Stadium in Jonesboro, Ark. Georgia State is 12th in the nation in rushing yards per game at 235.0, while Arkansas State is 14th nationally in passing yards per game at 326.0. The Red Wolves are favored by 3.5 points in the latest Arkansas State vs. Georgia State odds from William Hill, while the over-under for total points scored is 73. Before making any Georgia State vs. Arkansas State picks, check out the college football predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past four-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of over $4,200 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It is a sizzling 23-6 on top-rated picks through six weeks of the 2020 college football season, returning almost $1,300 in profit already. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Arkansas State vs. Georgia State. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the college football odds from William Hill and trends for Georgia State vs. Arkansas State:

  • Georgia State vs. Arkansas State spread: Arkansas State -3.5
  • Georgia State vs. Arkansas State over-under: 73 points
  • Georgia State vs. Arkansas State money line: Georgia State +140, Arkansas State -160
  • GSU: Georgia State is averaging 40.0 points per game, 15th-best in the country
  • ASU: Senior WR Jonathan Adams Jr. is tied for the fifth-most career receiving touchdowns in school history with 14

Why Arkansas State can cover

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The Red Wolves have been pressuring opposing quarterbacks this season and have seven sacks in four games, led by senior Justin Rice. Rice, who earned Sun Belt Conference Defensive Player of the Week honors, is second on the team with 26 tackles, including 22 solo, and four sacks for 34 yards. He also has one pass breakup. In last week’s 50-27 win over Central Arkansas, Rice recorded a season-high 12 tackles, four tackles for loss and three sacks. Last season, Rice finished with 112 tackles, including 65 solo, with three sacks, four forced fumbles and two fumble recoveries.

Also leading the Arkansas State defense is senior safety Elery Alexander, who tops the Red Wolves with 27 tackles, including 20 solo. He has one pass breakup and one fumble recovery. Last week against Central Arkansas, he had seven tackles, including six solo. For his career, he has 38 tackles, including 27 solo, with one pass breakup and one fumble recovery. Last season, he played in all 13 games on special teams and was a reserve in the secondary.

Why Georgia State can cover

The Panthers can put points on the board, scoring 80 in two games. One of the main reasons is freshman quarterback Cornelious Brown, who has completed 40-of-67 passes for 434 yards and four touchdowns. He also is second on the team in rushing, carrying 21 times for 90 yards and one TD.

Also leading the Georgia State attack is junior running back Destin Coates, who has rushed 57 times for 263 yards and three TDs. Coates entered the season ranked 10th in school history in rushing yards. In just 19 games, he has rushed 171 times for 946 yards and 11 touchdowns. He also has 20 receptions out of the backfield for 166 yards. In last year’s win over Arkansas State, Coates tied a school record with three rushing touchdowns.

How to make Arkansas State vs. Georgia State picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the total. In fact, it says Arkansas State quarterback Logan Bonner will throw for fewer than 200 yards and two touchdowns, while Brown will throw for fewer than 220 yards and two scores. It has also generated an against-the-spread pick that cashes in over 50 percent of simulations. You can only get the pick at SportsLine. 

So who wins Georgia State vs. Arkansas State? And which side of the spread hits over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Arkansas State vs. Georgia State spread to back, all from the advanced model that is up over $4,200 on its top-rated college football spread picks, and find out.

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