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Sunday Night Football picks, predictions from model on 114-74 roll

The Las Vegas Raiders will try to become the first AFC West team to sweep the Kansas City Chiefs since 2014 when the division rivals collide in a key Sunday Night Football clash at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas. The last team to take both regular season games from Kansas City was Denver six years ago. The Raiders (6-3), who already upset Kansas City 40-32 on Oct. 11, can join the Broncos with a win on Sunday. 



a close up of a person holding a baseball bat: TAMPA, FL - OCTOBER 18: Tom Brady (12) of the Buccaneers gives directions to his receiver during the regular season game between the Green Bay Packers and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on October 18, 2020 at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Florida.


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TAMPA, FL – OCTOBER 18: Tom Brady (12) of the Buccaneers gives directions to his receiver during the regular season game between the Green Bay Packers and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on October 18, 2020 at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Florida.


Las Vegas faces an 8-1 Chiefs team that is chasing Pittsburgh (10-0) for the best record in the NFL. Kickoff is set for 8:20 p.m. ET. Kansas City is a 7.5-point favorite in the latest Chiefs vs. Raiders odds from William Hill Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is 56. Before you make any Raiders vs. Chiefs picks, be sure to see the latest Sunday Night Football predictions from SportsLine’s proven model. 

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up over $7,800 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception five-plus years ago. It is a sizzling 18-9 on top-rated NFL picks this season, returning more than $800. The model also enters Week 11 on an incredible 114-74 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch in three of the past four years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 95 percent of CBS Sports office pool players three times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has set its sights on Chiefs vs. Raiders. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the NFL lines from William Hill and trends for Raiders vs. Chiefs:

  • Chiefs vs. Raiders spread: Kansas City -7.5
  • Chiefs vs. Raiders Over-Under: 56 points
  • Chiefs vs. Raiders money line: Kansas City -355, Las Vegas +295
  • KC: Patrick Mahomes ranks second in the NFL in passer rating (115.9)
  • LV: Josh Jacobs is fourth in the league in rushing yards (700)

Latest Odds: Chiefs -7.5

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Why the Chiefs can cover

Kansas City features one of the best offenses in the NFL. Behind quarterback Patrick Mahomes, the defending Super Bowl champions lead the NFL in passing offense (294.7 yards per game). The Chiefs also rank second in total offense (409.0 yards per game) and scoring offense (31.8 points per game).

In addition, the Chiefs have been excellent in the first game after their bye week. In fact, Kansas City is 5-1 in the last six seasons in the first game after the bye. The average margin of victory in those six contests has been 11.7 points. The Chiefs have also dominated this rivalry over the years, winning eight of their last 10 meetings against the Raiders. 

Why the Raiders can cover

Las Vegas has been scoring in bunches this season. In fact, the Raiders have already scored 30 or more points in five games. That’s more 30-point games than they had the previous two seasons combined (four). They’ve also scored 68 points in their past two games with Derek Carr throwing only two touchdowns during that span.

In addition, running back Josh Jacobs is having one of the best rushing seasons in franchise history. The second-year running back is on pace for 324 rushes, 1,244 rushing yards and 14 rushing touchdowns this season, all of which would be in the top five by a Raider in a single season. In Las Vegas’ victory over Kansas City earlier this season, Jacobs ran for two touchdowns. 

How to make Chiefs vs. Raiders picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the total, with the simulations showing Mahomes throwing for well over 300 yards and Jacobs pushing for 100 on the ground. The model also says one side of the spread hits over 50 percent of the time. You can only get the pick here. 

So who wins Raiders vs. Chiefs on Sunday Night Football? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Raiders vs. Chiefs spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up over $7,800 on its NFL picks, and find out.

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